Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign – The New York Times

I thought if they’re gonna cover this side of the story, I might pay attention to the gray lady and signed on to its catch-ups by email.


President Trump’s approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak.

Not to be picky, but the only poll cited that asks likely voters has him at 50%, not under water, as hailed by the Washington Secrets columnist at Washington Times. That’s Rasmussen.

Continuing the NY Times analysis:

His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis of election results and polling data.

That persistent edge leaves him closer to re-election than one would think based on national polls, and it might blunt any electoral cost of actions like his recent tweets attacking four minority congresswomen.


via The New York Times

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